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REG - ASA Intnl. Grp PLC - June 2024 Trading and Business Update

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RNS Number : 6520W  ASA International Group PLC  17 July 2024

Press release

 

ASA International Group plc June 2024 Trading and Business update

Improved business performance sustained and expected to continue through H2
2024

Amsterdam, The Netherlands, 17 July 2024 - ASA International, ('ASA
International', the 'Company' or the 'Group'), one of the world's largest
international microfinance institutions, today provides the following update
on its business operations as of 30 June 2024. The Company has seen sustained
momentum in its business performance in H1 2024 along with continued
improvement in the Group's operating environment.

The information contained within this announcement is deemed by the Company to
constitute inside information as stipulated by the Market Abuse Regulation
(EU) No.596/2014, as it forms part of UK law by virtue of the European Union
(Withdrawal) Act 2018 ("MAR"). Upon the publication of this announcement, this
inside information is now considered to be in the public domain.

June 2024 Trading update highlights

·    We have seen a continued improvement in the operating environment and
business performance of our operating entities since March 2024. This is in
line with the guidance we provided in the 2023 full year results as announced
on 23 April 2024, and we expect this momentum to continue in H2 2024.

·    The Group's Gross OLP increased to USD 398 million at the end of June
2024 from USD 377 million at the end of December 2023. The growth in Gross OLP
in USD terms was driven by improved performances in Pakistan, Ghana, Tanzania,
and Kenya.

·    The unrestricted cash and cash equivalents position of the Group
remained at a healthy level of USD 68 million as at 30 June 2024, compared to
USD 48 million as at 31 December 2023.

·    PAR>30 for the Group's operating subsidiaries, excluding off-book
portfolio, remained broadly stable at 2.5% at the end of June 2024 compared to
2.1% at the end of December 2023. PAR>30 remains excellent below 1% in our
operations in Ghana, Kenya and Uganda.

·    The Company continued to have a strong funding pipeline of USD 174
million fresh loans as at end of June 2024 (31 December 2023: USD 152 million)
to support growth of operations. These can be accessed in the short to medium
term. The total amount of new debt raised in the year to 30 June 2024 amounted
to USD 101 million.

Outlook

The outlook for 2024 remains positive with continued improved business
performance expected for our operations on the back of the momentum from March
2024, and continuing high demand for loans from our clients. This is expected
to result in an improved trading performance for 2024 (versus last year),
which should be ahead of current market consensus for the current financial
year*.  However, as previously announced at the time of our FY 2023 results,
inflation and related FX movements will continue to have an impact on the
final outcome of the Group's operating subsidiaries' performances in FY 2024.
In H1 2024, the currencies in most operating markets have been relatively
stable vis a vis the USD when comparing 30 June 2024 with 31 December 2023,
with the exception of Myanmar, Ghana and Nigeria.

The reported net income for the Group will also depend on which countries will
be classified as hyperinflationary at the end of 2024. Based on the latest
preliminary inflation projections, it is still expected that the accounting
for hyperinflation will be applicable for Ghana and Sierra Leone in 2024.
Pakistan and Nigeria remain on the IMF watchlist.

* Market consensus on reported basis as at 17 July 2024 is pre-tax income of
USD 36.9 million and net income of USD 15.5 million.

June 2024 Business update highlights

·    The Group's Gross OLP increased to USD 398 million (4.3% higher than
in March 2024 and 15% higher than at 30 June 2023).

·   All operating subsidiaries achieved collection efficiency of more than
90% with 12 countries achieving more than 95%.

·    Collection efficiency in India remained broadly stable at 97% in June
2024 compared to 98% in March 2024. The intentional decrease in our own
portfolio in India has slowed down while the business continues to grow the
off-book BC portfolio in India. This approach is designed to retain good
clients.

·   PAR>30 for the Group, including off-book loans and excluding loans
overdue for more than 365 days, slightly increased to 2.4% in June 2024 (March
2024: 1.8%).

·   Excluding all loans which have been overdue for more than 180 days
and, as a result, have been fully provided for, PAR>30 remained broadly
stable at 1.5% in June 2024 (March 2024: 1.1%).

·     Disbursements as a percentage of collections exceeded 100% in nine
countries.

 

Collection efficiency until 30 June 2024((1))

 Countries        Jan/24  Feb/24  Mar/24  Apr/24  May/24  Jun/24
 Pakistan         100%    100%    99%     99%     99%     98%
 India (total)    95%     97%     98%     99%     98%     97%
 Sri Lanka        96%     96%     96%     95%     95%     95%
 The Philippines  98%     98%     99%     99%     98%     98%
 Myanmar          100%    100%    100%    100%    100%    100%
 Ghana            100%    100%    100%    100%    100%    100%
 Nigeria          94%     94%     93%     93%     94%     94%
 Sierra Leone     97%     97%     97%     97%     96%     96%
 Tanzania         99%     99%     99%     99%     99%     99%
 Kenya            100%    100%    100%    100%    100%    100%
 Uganda           100%    100%    100%    100%    100%    100%
 Rwanda           96%     95%     95%     95%     96%     97%
 Zambia           99%     99%     99%     98%     98%     98%

( (1)) Collection efficiency refers to actual collections from clients
 divided by realisable collections for the period. It is calculated as follows:
 the sum of actual regular collections, actual overdue collections and actual
 advance payments divided by the sum of realisable regular collections, actual
 overdue collections

 and actual advance payments. Under this definition collection efficiency
 cannot exceed 100%.

( (1)) Collection efficiency refers to actual collections from clients
divided by realisable collections for the period. It is calculated as follows:
the sum of actual regular collections, actual overdue collections and actual
advance payments divided by the sum of realisable regular collections, actual
overdue collections

and actual advance payments. Under this definition collection efficiency
cannot exceed 100%.

·    Collection efficiency remained stable at high levels in most of our
operating countries during June 2024 compared to March 2024.

·    Collection efficiency in India remained broadly stable at 97% in June
2024 compared to 98% in March 2024.

·    Although market conditions in both Myanmar and Nigeria remained
challenging, collection efficiency remained stable.

Loan portfolio quality up to and including June 2024((2, 3))

                   Gross OLP (in USDm)                                                                        Non-overdue loans                         PAR>30 less PAR>180
                  Apr/24                May/24                           Jun/24                              Apr/24      May/24      Jun/24            Apr/24        May/24        Jun/24
 Pakistan                 72                       74                              79                        99.6%       97.3%       93.3%             0.1%          0.3%          0.7%
 India (total)            51                       52                              51                        79.6%       80.5%       80.2%             2.2%          4.0%          4.2%
 Sri Lanka                  5                        5                               5                       91.5%       90.8%       90.7%             3.4%          3.6%          3.9%
 The Philippines          57                       57                              58                        94.7%       93.9%       94.1%             2.1%          2.1%          2.2%
 Myanmar                  23                       23                              20                        93.2%       93.4%       93.7%             0.2%          0.1%          0.1%
 Ghana                    45                       46                              48                        99.2%       99.3%       99.6%             0.1%          0.1%          0.1%
 Nigeria                    9                        9                               9                       77.5%       78.8%       79.8%             6.0%          5.7%          5.4%
 Sierra Leone               5                        6                               5                       91.6%       90.4%       91.3%             2.8%          3.0%          3.9%
 Tanzania                 66                       67                              68                        98.2%       98.1%       98.3%             0.7%          0.8%          0.8%
 Kenya                    30                       32                              32                        99.6%       99.6%       99.6%             0.1%          0.1%          0.1%
 Uganda                   14                       14                              15                        98.9%       99.0%       99.0%             0.2%          0.2%          0.1%
 Rwanda                     4                        4                               4                       89.1%       89.4%       89.7%             4.4%          4.2%          3.8%
 Zambia                     3                        3                               3                       94.0%       93.5%       93.8%             1.4%          1.9%          2.2%
 Group                  385                      393                             398                         94.6%       94.2%       93.7%             1.1%          1.3%          1.5%
                   PAR>30                                                                               PAR>90                                    PAR>180

                  Apr/24                           May/24     Jun/24                                   Apr/24      May/24      Jun/24            Apr/24       May/24        Jun/24
 Pakistan         0.3%                             0.3%       1.2%                                     0.3%        0.2%        0.8%              0.2%         0.0%          0.5%
 India (total)    5.2%                             5.8%       5.8%                                     4.1%        3.1%        3.0%              3.0%         1.8%          1.6%
 Sri Lanka        5.1%                             5.3%       5.6%                                     3.0%        3.2%        3.3%              1.6%         1.7%          1.8%
 The Philippines  3.9%                             4.3%       4.5%                                     3.0%        3.3%        3.4%              1.8%         2.2%          2.3%
 Myanmar          0.2%                             0.3%       0.3%                                     0.2%        0.2%        0.2%              0.0%         0.1%          0.1%
 Ghana            0.2%                             0.2%       0.2%                                     0.1%        0.1%        0.1%              0.1%         0.1%          0.1%
 Nigeria          11.6%                            9.9%       9.0%                                     8.6%        7.4%        7.0%              5.6%         4.2%          3.6%
 Sierra Leone     4.6%                             4.8%       5.7%                                     3.4%        3.4%        3.7%              1.8%         1.8%          1.8%
 Tanzania         1.2%                             1.3%       1.3%                                     0.8%        0.9%        0.9%              0.5%         0.5%          0.5%
 Kenya            0.2%                             0.2%       0.2%                                     0.2%        0.2%        0.2%              0.1%         0.1%          0.1%
 Uganda           0.7%                             0.5%       0.4%                                     0.6%        0.5%        0.4%              0.5%         0.4%          0.3%
 Rwanda           7.5%                             7.3%       6.9%                                     5.4%        5.4%        5.3%              3.1%         3.1%          3.0%
 Zambia           2.6%                             3.0%       3.2%                                     1.8%        1.9%        1.9%              1.1%         1.1%          1.0%
 Group            2.1%                             2.2%       2.4%                                     1.6%        1.5%        1.6%              1.1%         0.9%          0.9%

(2)   PAR>x is the percentage of outstanding customer loans with at least
one instalment payment overdue x days, excluding loans more than 365 days
overdue, to Gross OLP including off-book loans. Loans overdue more than 365
days now comprise 3.1% of the Gross OLP.

(3)   The table "PAR>30 less PAR>180" shows the percentage of
outstanding client loans with a PAR greater than 30 days, less those loans
which have been fully provided for.

·    Gross OLP in India slightly increased to USD 51 million (3% higher
than in March 2024 and 3% higher than in June 2023).

·    Gross OLP in Myanmar decreased to USD 20 million as at 30 June 2024
from USD 23 million as at 31 May 2024, primarily due to sharp depreciation of
the MMK against the USD.

·    PAR>30 for the Group, including off-book loans and excluding loans
overdue for more than 365 days, slightly increased to 2.4% in June 2024.

·    The off-book portfolio in India consists of IDFC of USD 9.4 million,
Fincare of USD 5.9 million and the Jana portfolio of USD 30.7 million. The
off-book DA portfolio amounts to USD 1.0 million.

Disbursements vs collections of loans until 30 June 2024((4))

 Countries        Jan/24  Feb/24  Mar/24  Apr/24  May/24  Jun/24
 Pakistan         106%    79%     84%     121%    87%     97%
 India (total)    127%    122%    118%    128%    100%    51%
 Sri Lanka        91%     133%    119%    79%     99%     87%
 The Philippines  103%    109%    107%    108%    104%    102%
 Myanmar          109%    107%    113%    92%     117%    118%
 Ghana            86%     105%    98%     106%    132%    129%
 Nigeria          60%     77%     73%     94%     113%    120%
 Sierra Leone     96%     119%    130%    101%    110%    85%
 Tanzania         101%    102%    109%    110%    107%    118%
 Kenya            118%    115%    115%    119%    114%    101%
 Uganda           93%     109%    110%    107%    111%    102%
 Rwanda           77%     96%     110%    119%    118%    122%
 Zambia           81%     100%    110%    104%    109%    122%

( (4)) Disbursements vs collections refers to actual loan disbursements made
 to clients divided by total amounts collected from clients in the period.

( (4)) Disbursements vs collections refers to actual loan disbursements made
to clients divided by total amounts collected from clients in the period.

 

 

·    Disbursements as a percentage of collections exceeded 100% in nine
countries.

·    The decreased percentages in India and Sierra Leone in June 2024 were
due to severe weather and natural disasters. These percentages are expected to
recover and improve from July 2024.

·    The decreased percentages in Sri Lanka in April to June 2024 were due
to funding challenges. These percentages are expected to improve from July as
the business in Sri Lanka secures new funding.

 

Development of Clients and Outstanding Loan Portfolio until 30 June 2024

                   Clients (in thousands)           Delta                         Gross OLP (in USDm)                                       Delta
 Countries        Jun/23     May/24     Jun/24     Jun/23-Jun/24  May/24-Jun/24  Jun/23    May/24                    Jun/24                Jun/23-Jun/24 USD  Jun/23-Jun/24 CC((5))  May/24-

Jun/24 USD
 Pakistan         608        617        618        2%             0.2%           66                  74                      79            20%                17%                    7%
 India (total)    207        194        186        -10%           -4%            50                  52                      51            3%                 5%                     -2%
 Sri Lanka        45         44         42         -6%            -3%            4                     5                       5           6%                 5%                     -2%
 The Philippines  332        351        352        6%             0.3%           52                  57                      58            10%                17%                    0%
 Myanmar          98         118        119        22%            1%             18                  23                      20            13%                34%                    -13%
 Ghana            181        186        197        9%             6%             41                  46                      48            17%                56%                    3%
 Nigeria          163        160        146        -10%           -8%            17                  9                         9           -48%               4%                     -5%
 Sierra Leone     35         38         37         6%             -1%            5                     6                       5           14%                35%                    -4%
 Tanzania         227        257        258        14%            0.3%           57                  67                      68            21%                32%                    2%
 Kenya            180        227        238        32%            5%             18                  32                      32            77%                63%                    1%
 Uganda           106        128        131        24%            3%             12                  14                      15            26%                27%                    3%
 Rwanda           20         21         21         7%             2%             4                     4                       4           15%                29%                    3%
 Zambia           23         26         27         18%            2%             4                     3                       3           -7%                27%                    16%
 Group            2,225      2,365      2,373      7%             0.3%           347       393                       398                   15%                25.4%                  1.3%

( )

((5)) Constant currency ('CC') implies conversion of local currency results to
USD with the exchange rate from the beginning of the period.

·    The Group's Gross OLP increased to USD 398 million (4.3% higher than
in March 2024 and 15% higher than in June 2023).

---

The person responsible for the release of this announcement on behalf of the
Company for the purposes of MAR is Tanwir Rahman, CFO.

Enquiries:

ASA International Group plc

Investor
Relations
 

Mischa
Assink
                ir@asa-international.com
(mailto:@asa-international.com)

 

About ASA International Group plc

ASA International Group plc (ASAI: LN) is one of the world's largest
international microfinance institutions, with a strong commitment to financial
inclusion and socioeconomic progress. The company provides small, socially
responsible loans to low-income, financially underserved entrepreneurs,
predominantly women, across South Asia, South East Asia, West and East Africa.

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