Wanted to get the wider communities thoughts on Taptica , especially regarding their latest Buy back plans, suspension of the buyback, supposed acquisition targets and its declining stock price despite its great Quality and Value StockRanks.
No-one wants to talk about Taptica International (LON:TAP)
I don't know where the bottom is as Taptica has chosen exactly the wrong time to wig out investors. But it would take something fairly spectacular to mean that the shares are bad value at 140p....where I have just filled my boots as there's obviously still keen sellers. There's a lack of evidence that there is a spectacular bad going down beyond the bad noise that is now public.
I'm not a great fan of this area or Israeli listed companies. Israeli tech is brilliant...very dynamic and driven...but its also a bit wild west. Having been in the tech startup area in the past my view is that the best tech startups are run by cowboys and chancers. Got be super smart though too and have a good idea and then a willingness to move quick and junk what you thought was good.
My biggest negative on Taptica is the loss of old CEO Hagai Tal! The guy seemed to be the biz. The legal case against him looks like the rough and tumble of buying and selling tech companies and the litigants seem to me like they didn't do their homework properly and then got caught....and the sellers obviously stretched reality to stretch the price. My experience with payment processors is that these are always very tough interactions unless you are a large or very established business. Relationships are unstable. There's a lot of messing around from the background infrastructure providers and the big financial institutions (banks, Visa, etc) to try and control and contain the space. There's a lot of reg arb going on to avoid regs or the clownish to malevolent interpretation of regs by mainstream operators. I created an entirely reg arb structure (for legitimate reasons as I my startup was being allowed to go through conventional routes) spending massive time on the exercise...only to be torpedoed by cost killer sidewinder from mainstream financial inst seeking to soak me. Its a nightmare...I'd be super cautious of investing in any payment business. Its a dirty space and hard to know what's going on.
Overall, I hope that Tal remains close to the company to share his wisdom...don't know the guy at all but it just seems obvious that he has been good.
I'm pleased the have hung up the share buyback to focus on an acquisition. Taptica have been brilliant at generating value from acquisitions. Obviously the messaging around this has been a disaster...thank you from a price perspective.
Then there's the data privacy stuff and illegitimate acquisition of data issues that have hit Facebook and Cambridge Analytica and this sentiment has rolled over onto Taptica. They say it has no impact as they are not storing personal data. There may be some residual issues from this and knock on expenses but its not enough to justify price right now.
I suspect the interim CEO has also caused angst. She's young and come from internally. However, she's obvs very capable to progress to where she has and given the fast paced innovation of the company and rapid entry into new markets its best that the promote the best candidate from internally...particularly as they are mid acquisition mojo.
Real cash production has been good. The earning do not appear fabricated.
There's some anxiety around the size of receivables and payables in the last 18 months since they acquired Tremor Video. Evidence is that they are working through that and bringing it down by being more astute and aggressive in managing terms. Maybe some writedowns can come from it but the value can take it.
So....I bought a full position. I thought about being cute and slicing in over time seeking to average down but this stock is so news driven and the value so good today I decided the best course of action is just to buy. Close my eyes time. In the vacuum could easily be down 30% by the end of the week.
I don't really know if there is great growth potential from here for Taptica International (LON:TAP). It seems there should be but its a brutal business area and maybe new leadership wont he as hardcore as Tal.
I wouldn't buy this share as a fully priced growth company as growth trajectory is hard to see. I looked after it IPO'd as Marimedia and fell in subsequent year plus. It seemed potentially great value but I couldn't assess the execution potential...well the the execution has been spectacular the price has collapsed for angsty reasons discussion above. It seems likely to be a gift from the market.
DYOR obvs (and leave me to cry alone if I'm terribly wrong)