Market Musings 040223: Coppock Curve confirms bull trend

The long-term Coppock indicator flashes green for a potential long-term bull market

Summary

  • Coppock indicator turns positive for UK, France, US stock markets

  • US ISM Services PMI January report was surprisingly strong

  • Leading regions are: UK, France, Sweden, Mexico

  • Leading investment styles are Europe Value, US Mid-cap Value

  • Leading cyclical sectors are: Europe Banks, Industrials,Building + Construction

  • Leading growth sectors are: Europe Technology, US Semiconductors

  • The presence of Construction/Homebuilders is particularly surprising, given the global housing recession in progress…

Podcast: Real Estate blues or opportunity?

  • Is real estate still the biggest asset class worldwide?

  • What is the short-term outlook for European Real Estate?

  • Given today’s economic and financial context, shouldn’t investors avoid the Real Estate sector?

  • What are the long-term drivers for property demand?

  • What about the French market?

Coppock Curve indicator gives thumbs up to stocks

What is the Coppock curve? According to Investopedia:

The Coppock Curve is a long-term price momentum indicator used primarily to recognize major downturns and upturns in a stock market index. It is calculated as a 10-month weighted moving average of the sum of the 14-month rate of change and the 11-month rate of change for the index. It is also known as the "Coppock Guide."

Why is the Coppock Curve useful as a bullish stock market indicator?

The Coppock Curve is a technical indicator that provides long-term buy and sell signals for major stock indexes and related ETFs based on shifts in momentum.
The indicator is designed for use on a monthly candlestick chart, where each candle is one month.
A reading above zero on the indicator signals a buy, while a drop below zero is a sell signal.

In the case of the US S&P 500 index, this Coppock Curve has turned up from a low negative reading to positive, thus signalling a buy on US large-caps.

Coppock curve gives positive signal for S&P 500

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Source: tradingview.com

The same can be seen on the FTSE 100 index:

Coppock curve gave a positive signal for the FTSE 100 too

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Source: tradingview.com

If anything, the FTSE looks more bullish…

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