They seem to work if you look back/backtest over time but I'm guessing as days project forward past the crash point they become a self fulfilling back looking system.
I can't see on any of the major indices that any moving average system has/would have worked currently purely as the fall has been so hard and fast and my guess is if we went back in time to say a week before covid hit the same argument would apply but 3-4 years post covid it would look like a moving average system had worked when in reality it hadn't
Happy to hear counter arguments on any method/system that worked for members on here prior to the current carnage but I'm coming around to the idea that when major events are being talked about tariffs/covid (market was calm the first week or so news started filtering out on covid) you should be getting to at least 50% cash or maybe more ?
Let me know your thoughts folks
