Good morning! These markets are extraordinary - the S&P rose 9.5% yesterday and the FTSE is this morning scheduled to open up by 5% after Trump announced a 90-day pause on his "reciprocal" tariffs - with the exception of China.
Comment from Mark:
Good morning! Mark here. It’s going to be a good day! The FTSE futures are up over 5% as Trump tweeted last night that tariffs on everywhere but China would be “paused” for 90 days at 10%. Unfortunately, the UK was already at 10%. However, oil rose around 10%, Gold was up 4% and the NASDAQ almost 10%, so these factors have dragged the FTSE higher.
I can’t help feeling that this isn’t all over, though. Even 10% tariffs embed inflation into the US economy, perhaps meaning rates stay higher for longer. Plus, who would make a major investment decision when policies are changing so rapidly? So we may see a US recession anyway. 90 days is long enough for a brief respite and then markets to start to worry about the upcoming “cliff edge”.
However, today isn’t a day for such a curmudgeonly reality. Enjoy the rise for as long as it lasts!
Companies Reporting
Name (Mkt Cap) | RNS | Summary | Our view (Author) |
---|---|---|---|
Tesco (LON:TSCO) (£22.4bn) | Preliminary Results | FY25 guidance: adj. operating profit £2.7 - 3.0bn (FY25: £3.1bn). Increase in competitive intensity. | AMBER (Megan) Despite the slightly tempered outlook, I’d argue that some trends are still on Tesco’s side (lower propensity of Brits to spend out, economic turbulence favouring defensives). It’s a tempting option in markets like these, but neither exciting, nor cheap enough for me at these levels. |
Anglo American (LON:AAL) (£21.4bn) | Update on Sale of Coal Business | Working towards satisfying customary conditions. | |
JD Sports Fashion (LON:JD.) (£3.6bn) | Share Buyback | Initial £100m buyback starting today. | AMBER (Mark - I hold) [No section below] Technically, this news was announced as part of the midday trading update yesterday but RNS'ed this morning. Seems mistimed to start a buyback on a day the shares are up 11%, but this is just the tariff news, which is positive for JD. This is a great business on a modest rating, so buying back shares makes sense. With guidance of being net cash after the buyback by the end of the year, this doesn’t place them… |