Good morning! These markets are extraordinary - the S&P rose 9.5% yesterday and the FTSE is this morning scheduled to open up by 5% after Trump announced a 90-day pause on his "reciprocal" tariffs - with the exception of China.

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Comment from Mark:

Good morning! Mark here. It’s going to be a good day! The FTSE futures are up over 5% as Trump tweeted last night that tariffs on everywhere but China would be “paused” for 90 days at 10%. Unfortunately, the UK was already at 10%. However, oil rose around 10%, Gold was up 4% and the NASDAQ almost 10%, so these factors have dragged the FTSE higher.

I can’t help feeling that this isn’t all over, though. Even 10% tariffs embed inflation into the US economy, perhaps meaning rates stay higher for longer. Plus, who would make a major investment decision when policies are changing so rapidly? So we may see a US recession anyway. 90 days is long enough for a brief respite and then markets to start to worry about the upcoming “cliff edge”.

However, today isn’t a day for such a curmudgeonly reality. Enjoy the rise for as long as it lasts!


Companies Reporting

Name (Mkt Cap)RNSSummaryOur view (Author)

Tesco (LON:TSCO) (£22.4bn)

Preliminary Results

FY25 guidance: adj. operating profit £2.7 - 3.0bn (FY25: £3.1bn). Increase in competitive intensity.AMBER (Megan)
Despite the slightly tempered outlook, I’d argue that some trends are still on Tesco’s side (lower propensity of Brits to spend out, economic turbulence favouring defensives). It’s a tempting option in markets like these, but neither exciting, nor cheap enough for me at these levels.

Anglo American (LON:AAL) (£21.4bn)

Update on Sale of Coal Business

Working towards satisfying customary conditions.

JD Sports Fashion (LON:JD.) (£3.6bn)

Share Buyback

Initial £100m buyback starting today.

AMBER (Mark - I hold) [No section below]

Technically, this news was announced as part of the midday trading update yesterday but RNS'ed this morning. Seems mistimed to start a buyback on a day the shares are up 11%, but this is just the tariff news, which is positive for JD. This is a great business on a modest rating, so buying back shares makes sense. With guidance of being net cash after the buyback by the end of the year, this doesn’t place them…

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